Weekly Grain/Livestock Update 11/6/25

Overview

Following the ONE44 rules and guidelines for the Fibonacci retracements we know that any market that is going to keep its current trend will stay above/below a 38.2% retracement and when really strong/weak a 23.6% level. You will know the short term trend changes when it starts to hold those same retracements in the other direction.

In Cattle the year long rally held 23.6%, or 38.2% on every setback until the high on 10/16/25. It then fail to hold retracements below, the first sign of a trend change and then this week the high hit 38.2% back to that high at 232.85, what followed is a $12.00 break so far.

January Soybeans traded sideways for the better part of a year below 38.2% at 1084.00. In that time it held a 78.6% retracement 3 different times, once on 4/9/25, the failure to make a new low in the area of a 78.6% retracement after hitting a 38.2% retracement above was the first sign that the break should be over. Usually this is enough to send the market on a new Bull run, however it setback two more times from the 38.2% level (1084.00) and both of those setbacks held a 78.6% retracement on 8/6/25 and 10/1/25. It broke out of the trading range last week and our swing point was 1076.00 (23.6%), by holding this level it kept the short term trend positive and it has rallied 60 cents so far.

For Wheat the low for the week held 38.2% back to the 10/14/25 at 519.00, holding this level was the first sign the short term has changed and it has rallied 35 cents at this point and hit our short term target area of the 554.00 major Gann square and 38.2% back to the 2/19/25 high at 557.00. 

Corn has had another small range for the week, however it finally took out a 38.2% retracement above at 425.25 (also a major Gann square)  and this week held above 23.6% (426.00), this was the swing point for the week. It remains a key level for the next week too.

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Being this is a weekly update we give all the key levels to watch for the week using Fibonacci retracements and Major Gann squares. We set up scenarios to look for when a level holds, or fails based on these methods, so it is very important to know for yourself how to use them following the ONE44 rules and guidelines. The best way to get a better understanding of these methods is to read all the posts (even if not on Grains) and watch our YouTube videos, as we explain why we think what we think based on the rules and guidelines. It is also important to view all the charts, as they have the key levels marked on them, if there are extended moves.

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